Business bullish domestic PV market oversupply first appear next year
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by: xiao
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Date: Thu, 5 Aug 2010 Time: 1:25 AM
Hot Keywords: hollow glass float glass tempered glass foil art glass furnace along with the rapid warming solar market, several major international manufacturer of a significant expansion of PV, solar PV market on the "supply glut" argument again attack years. EnergyTrend analysts said that with the new capacity in place one after another, one can imagine the situation of shortage will end in the second half. Therefore, the second half of the solar industry's product prices to be flat or even decline slightly. The number of domestic PV manufacturers said orders this year's relatively good supply of the situation should be able to continue into next year.
According to the agency predicts that the global top ten solar cell manufacturers, there are nine plans more capacity, by the end of the nine manufacturers of total capacity is expected to reach 9.5GW. It is for this reason, it makes them worry about big companies, while expansion may lead to reversal of supply and demand. However, the China Securities Journal reporter interviewed several domestic PV manufacturers and found that the majority of manufacturers on the market this year, the situation is still very confident. Vice President Rong Zhu Tianwei Paul changed that view from the European PV market, orders ideal, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic and other places of the orders are on the rise, with the United States, Canada, the introduction of government subsidies and implementation of overseas markets will increase gradually.
Yingli Energy Beijing Co. Ltd, said the company's current order situation is better now appears that the United States and other countries are increasing their efforts to subsidize renewable energy, so with the rise of emerging markets, demand gap is difficult to be met within a short period, the trend is expected shortage of PV products will continue into next year. LDK official said, as is the international PV market, the role of market mechanisms more obvious, therefore, the industry's supply and demand tend to be in "short supply - another expansion - supply exceeds demand" cycle process Therefore, the increase in the future as the industry supply, some degree of excess also belong to the normal market functioning, but in the midst of which the companies will adjust their behavior based on market Jishi. First appeared in Europe next year oversupply of solar modules produced the current average price of 1.92 euros (2.51 U.S. dollars), down 27% over last year. Analysts expected the price decline will continue until next year, will likely further decline in average selling prices up to 40%. In response, many domestic PV manufacturers that it is difficult to predict the situation next year's price, but look at this year's orders, the price of photovoltaic products not sharp drop momentum.
There are companies that at present the price of silicon wafers from the polysilicon to show up in momentum, at the same time, solar modules, will not rise even if it is hard to significant decline in market demand, after all, is very strong. Industry said that as more and more countries are beginning to encourage solar and other renewable energy development, so the overall PV market in the expanding case is, as long as the big vendors expansion plans within the overall market growth, sales are not a problem, plus the firm reduce costs by expanding production capacity, despite the decline in earnings per watt unit, but can also form a compensation amount won. National Energy Research Institute researcher, said Wang Sicheng photovoltaic experts, as a whole, in recent years, the global PV market demand should be to maintain upward trend in demand growth is slowing down, which, at least in this in the second half, many PV manufacturers have already signed the order over, so the oversupply situation in the future may be as early as next year.
